Accounting analytics 3 Day Seminar

Accounting analytics

August 2021

Venue and date to be confirmed

Course overview

Accounting Analytics explores how financial statement data and non-financial metrics can be linked to financial performance.  In this course, taught by Dr Steven Firer an acclaimed accounting professor, you’ll learn how data is used to assess what drives financial performance and to forecast future financial scenarios. While many accounting and financial organizations deliver data, accounting analytics deploys that data to deliver insight, and this course will explore the many areas in which accounting data provides insight into other business areas including consumer behavior predictions, corporate strategy, risk management, optimization, and more. By the end of this course, you’ll understand how financial data and non-financial data interact to forecast events, optimize operations, and determine strategy. This course has been designed to help you make better business decisions about the emerging roles of accounting analytics, so that you can apply what you’ve learned to make your own business decisions and create strategy using financial data.

Ratios and Forecasting

This section is ratio analysis and forecasting. Since ratio analysis involves financial statement numbers, we will do a ratio analysis of a single company during the module. First, we’ll examine the company\"s strategy and business model, and then we\"ll look at the DuPont analysis. Next, we’ll analyse profitability and turnover ratios followed by an analysis of the liquidity ratios for the company. Once we\"ve put together all the ratios, we can use them to forecast future financial statements. By the end of this section, you’ll be able to do a ratio analysis of a company to identify the sources of its competitive advantage (or red flags of potential trouble), and then use that information to forecast its future financial statements.

Earnings Management

In this section we are going to examine "earnings management", which is the practice of trying to intentionally bias financial statements to look better than they really should look. Beginning with an overview of earnings management, we’ll cover means, motive, and opportunity: how managers actually make their earnings look better, their incentives for manipulating earnings, and how they get away with it. Then, we will investigate red flags for two different forms of revenue manipulation. Manipulating earnings through aggressive revenue recognition practices is the most common reason that companies get in trouble with government regulators for their accounting practices. Next, we will discuss red flags for manipulating earnings through aggressive expense recognition practices, which is the second most common reason that companies get in trouble for their accounting practices. By the end of this module, you’ll know how to spot earnings management and get a more accurate picture of earnings, so that you’ll be able to catch some bad guys in finance reporting!

Prediction Models

In this section, we’ll use big data approaches to try to detect earnings management. Specifically, we\"re going to use prediction models to try to predict how the financial statements would look if there were no manipulation by the manager. First, we’ll look at Discretionary Accruals Models, which try to model the non-cash portion of earnings or "accruals," where managers are making estimates to calculate revenues or expenses. Next, we\"ll talk about Discretionary Expenditure Models, which try to model the cash portion of earnings. Then we\"ll look at Fraud Prediction Models, which try to directly predict what types of companies are likely to commit frauds. Finally, we’ll explore something called Benford\"s Law, which examines the frequency with which certain numbers appear. If certain numbers appear more often than dictated by Benford\"s Law, it\"s an indication that the financial statements were potentially manipulated. These models represent the state of the art right now, and are what academics use to try to detect and predict earnings management. By the end of this module, you\"ll have a very strong tool kit that will help you try to detect financial statements that may have been manipulated by managers.

 

 

 

The three-day course is case study driven and attendees will able to:

• Identify and synthesise useful sources of financial and non-financial data that help accountants’ decision-making.
• Demonstrate the cognitive skills to master the major concepts, and use current applications, of typical accounting analytics methods.
• Critically analyse accounting case studies to gain an understanding of the opportunities and challenges brought by large financial and non-financial data set.
• Use and evaluate analytics techniques to interpret accounting data, analyse business environments, and develop solutions for authentic (real world and ill-defined) problems in accounting processes.
• Interpret and effectively communicate the findings of accounting analytics to both specialists and non-specialists.
• Demonstrate an advanced understanding of contemporary accounting analytics relevant to accountants’ work in professional contexts.

Who should attend?

• Auditors: Internal, External and Forensic
• Forensic accountants
• Forensic lawyers
• Academic researchers
• Audit regulators
• Preparers of financial statements
• Beginners in any of the above

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Facilitator profile

Website: https://stevenrfirer.blogspot.com/

Steven has five degrees and qualified as a Chartered Accountant in 1987 after serving 2 years in the South African Air Force. Steven played 7 test matches for the South African indoor soccer team. He obtained his doctorate in business administration from the University of KwaZulu Natal in 2003.Steven is an IFRSCorporate Governance and Forensic specialist. He has extensive experience in IFRS requirements including the implementation of new IFRS standards, corporate governance law and implementation and is currently practicing as a forensic accountant. Steven was a professor and has lectured for many years at the University of Witwatersrand, Rhodes University, and Monash University in the fields of accounting, auditing, and finance. He has written and co-written over 25 research papers published in various academic and professional journals. Steven has been a presenter on various accounting topics at international conferences and has facilitated many training sessions on accounting and auditing. Steven served as a member of the American Accounting Association’s Auditing Guidance Committee for 4 years

 

Detailed course outline

Day 1

• Review of financial statements 
Financial Statements Revision
• Where to find data?
Where do I find financial statement data?
• Ratio analysis

Aimee Junction
• DuPont analysis
DuPont Ratio Analysis Framework
ROA and Leverage
Profitability and Turnover ratios
Liquidity ratios
• Forecasting
Common Size Financial Statements
Forecasting Financial Statements
Projecting the Balance Sheet
• Valuation
Accounting-Based Valuation
Accounting-Based Valuation Steps

Day 2

• Overview of earnings management
What is Earnings Management?
Earnings Management Example
Motive for Earnings Management
Meeting Last Year’s Earnings Target
What are Sources of Earnings Management Motives?
Means: How Can Managers Manipulate Earnings?
Opportunity: When Can Managers Pull It Off?
• Revenue recognition red flags
Revenue before cash is collected
▪ Revenue Recognition
▪ Revenue Recognition Red Flags
▪ Year-over-year Revenue Growth Trends
▪ Year-over-year Growth in Accounts Receivable
▪ Ratios

▪ Rusty Electronics Case
Revenue before cash is collected
▪ Revenue Recognition
▪ Revenue Recognition Red Flags
▪ Year-over-year Revenue Growth Trends
▪ Year-over-year Growth in Accounts Receivable
Revenue after cash is collected
▪ Revenue Recognition after Sale
▪ Deferred or Unearned Revenue
▪ Growth in Unearned Revenues and Booking
▪ Ratios

▪ Waggles Soft Case

Expense recognition red flags

▪ Capitalizing vs. Expensing
▪ Expense Recognition
▪ Expense Recognition Manipulation: Capitalization vs. Expensing
▪ Expense Recognition Manipulation: Amortization Periods
▪ Expense Recognition Red Flags

▪ Casey Associates Case
• Reserve accounts and delaying write-off 
Reserve Accounts
Delaying Write-Downs
Truffles Enterprises Case
Warranty Footnote
Inventory Footnote
Capitalized Product Costs Footnote
PP&E Footnote

Day 3

• Discretionary Accruals Models 
Discretionary accruals
Modified Jones Model of Discretionary Accruals
Estimation Approach
• Cases 

Rusty Electronics Case
Milly Case
Toby Case
• Discretionary Expenditure Models
Refinements to Discretionary Expenditure Models
▪ Refinement #1: Distance Measure
▪ Refinement #2: Quarterly Changes
▪ Company #1: Possible “Meet or Beat”
▪ Company #2: Possible “Big Bath”
▪ Company #3: Possible “Smoothing”
• Fraud Prediction Models 
Fraud Prediction Models
Beneish M-Score

Enron Case
• Benford’s Law
Benford’s Law and Bernie Madoff
Benford’s Law and Financial Statements
Detecting Discrepancies from Benford’s Law

Bagel and Locks

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